My World Politics in a Nutshell

By | April 22, 2008

For those new to this site, here is what I believe.

I believe the world is running out of major oil deposits. Food prices are already going up, because making food requires oil. We face mass starvation when the oil runs out and as we try to turn food into energy. Knowing this before 9/11/2001, they first tried to tell people the truth, then Cheney had Bush take a long vacation where, based on PNAC recommendations, they planned the attacks 9/11 as a pretext to invade Afghanistan to build a pipeline to get the oil and natural gas out of the Caspian Sea basin and as a reason to invade Iraq to control its oil. Iraq has the 2nd largest proven oil reserves in the world. I believe they had to lie to the world because telling the truth would set off World War III for the last remaining oil. This is why they believe they will be vindicated by history and why they invented the terrorism deception. Obesity is more deadly than terrorism.

I do not agree with these decisions, but I believe they see themselves as heroes, saving many millions of Americans from starvation in a few years by their actions now. I see a better way, which is why I marched in the largest anti-war protest in the history of the country years ago. We should have spent the 3 trillion dollars this war is costing on developing alternative energy and converting to a new way of life. I’ve read that solar panels across the Sahara could provide the Earth with clean energy. Bacteria can produce hydrogen. And there are technologies to turn landfills into energy. Let’s do that now.

Is it interesting to me in 2008 to go back and see what I was thinking in 2003 about the war.

As always, if you are certain I am wrong about any of this, let me know why.

4 thoughts on “My World Politics in a Nutshell

  1. Ray Bilbo

    When the first barrel of oil was removed from the ground we began to run out of oil.
    The Earth has a finite quantity of fossil fuels. The main problem is when will the Earth run out of them? Certainly not tomorrow or in the next 20 years. If we turn to Coal and Shale oils, not for a 100 years. The only sure energy that the earth has is the Sun. It will likely last some say a billion years. Chicken Little on the other hand believes the Sun will stop supplying energy tomorrow.
    Our current problem is we have not built new refineries or looked for crude in the shallow seas that surround the USA.
    OUR CONGRESS has mandated our current shortages of oil. High taxes on oil have fed the National Debt and OUR CONGRESS is spending trillions more than we have.

    I am certain that you are wrong, not on the subject but on the timing of our last drops of oil.

  2. Xeno Post author

    I agree and I should clarify. Running out of oil is an oversimplification. You are correct. Rather, the oil available will soon reach a point at which it costs more to get it out of the ground than the energy it gives us. There is plenty of oil in small deposits, but the large reserves are where the profit is. despite our technological advances, including the use of satellites, ground penetrating radar, etc, new large reserves are not being discovered at a rate needed to keep up with our demands. The cost of getting the oil that remains keeps going up. When it costs 2 units of energy to remove enough oil to produce 2 unit of energy, the whole thing stops working. That’s peak oil, as I understand it. Shale and Coal don’t have the energy density and they cause much more pollution, so I agree that the sun is the thing to tap. But it seems to me that US intelligence and the big energy and alternative energy companies meeting with Cheney in 2001 must have briefed him candidly that there simply isn’t enough alternative energy to meet our needs. The time and money it will take to convert our infrastructure away from oil probably would greatly exceed the cost of the war in Iraq and it would require major changes in our way of life… driving much less… eating less… lights out at certain peak times… etc.

  3. Sepp

    I am not sure you have got this right.

    Yes, it looks like we’re running out of oil, and it feels like we’re running out, but it is a commercial deception that gives us the look and feeling.

    Let me explain: Oil is a renewable and indeed a constantly renewed resource. The mechanism is explained by Gold in “The Deep Hot Biosphere”. In short, hydrogen gas forms methane somewhere in the bowels of the earth. The methane is degraded by bacterial intervention into oil and black coal. The “fossil” theory of oil does not hold water.

    Why then do we have peak oil? Good question, and I will attempt to answer.

    The oil companies know their time is inexorably coming go its end. So what do they do – go out with grace? No way. They engineer an artificial scarcity of oil by first capping most wells in continental US, then not building needed refinery capacity, then inducing – through the shock and awe of 911 – wars in the oil rich middle east. The Iraq “wild card” oil producer is brought to heel by “removing a nasty dictator”. The real result: triple digit oil prices as instability and lower oil production makes everyone jittery. Just look at the profit figures of the major oil companies for the last two or three years, and tell me they did not have a very good motive to limit oil production.

    News of large oil discoveries is stifled – courtesy of a compliant press. If you look for that news, you can find it hidden here and there. Venezuela has HUGE reserves. There is a field hidden under the sea around the Falkland islands that Britain went to war against Argentina for, some years ago. (Yes, that was oil, not a few sheep on the islands or the honor of the British Crown.) Huge numbers of oil wells have been forcibly capped in the US since the 60s and 70s.

    One recent example is a find in the Northern central US:

    1,000 feet beneath Montana’s soil lies one of the largest oil reserves
    in the world…

    It’s 5.3X the proven reserves of Exxon, Gazprom, Chevron and
    ConocoPhillips combined… Twice the size of Saudi Arabia’s Ghawar oil
    field…

    It’s the largest domestic oil discovery since Alaska’s Prudhoe Bay and
    has the potential to eliminate all American dependence on foreign oil.

    • “When I first briefed legislators on this, you could practically
    see their jaws hit the floor. They had no idea.” says Terry Johnson,
    the Montana Legislature’s financial analyst.

    • “This sizeable find is now the highest-producing onshore oil field
    found in the past 56 years,” reports The Pittsburgh Post Gazette.

    • The NY Times writes… “One of the largest oil finds in the history
    of the U.S.”

    • The US Dept of Energy confirms… “This could increase crude oil in
    America by billions of barrels.”

    It’s a formation known as the Williston Basin, but is more commonly
    referred to as the “Bakken.” And it stretches from Northern Montana,
    through North Dakota and into Canada.

    Other stories are out there just for the looking.

    So I believe that you are essentially correct, except for one point. Our oil shortage is man-made rather than dictated by geological realities, and the motive is for the oil majors and their owners to profit while they can.

    As you say, solar could supply all of our energy needs. There are also hydrogen technologies are coming on line, and a lot of research is going into more exotic means of energy production, all independent of oil.

    In a way, it is ironic that the oil companies, by choosing to squeeze us on the energy front are hastening the development of these alternatives which will surely take over from oil – even if in another one of the famous swings of the market, oil should become cheaper again. I believe the progress can’t be stopped any more, not this time.

    There was a lot of alternative energy research after the 70’s oil shock, but then came huge delays as oil went down to between 10 and 20 dollars a barrel, before climbing to its present three-digit heights.

    Anyway, the price swings are manipulation. Wars play an important role, not in “securing” oil, but in making sure not too much is produced. That’s the sad picture of it all.

    A few links to follow up are in my blog post

    The Peak Oil Deception: Squeezing Energy for Profit

    http://blog.hasslberger.com/2008/02/the_peak_oil_deception_squeezi.html

  4. Xeno Post author

    Thanks for this very interesting post Sepp. I have some research to do now to catch up with this theory.

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